CHARACTERISTICS OF SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS IN ECONOMIC CRIME IN RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The issues of the seasonality of criminal activity are widely covered in foreign scientific literature, but domestic research in this area includes literally several works. At the same time, the results of the assessment of seasonal fluctuations in criminal activity can be used for practical purposes — to predict the level of crime and the distribution of internal affairs forces when countering certain types of crimes. The task of present article sets is the diagnosing seasonal fluctuations in the Russian economic crime using graphical and analytical methods. Using the data of the official statistics of 2003—2020, the authors come to the conclusion that there is a vivid seasonality in the dynamics of registered economic crimes. The main reason for such steady fluctuations, according to the authors, is related to the peculiarities of detecting and solving crimes in the economic sphere.

Keywords:
crime seasonality, criminal statistics, economic crime, crime forecasting, autocorrelation
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